Iowa (22-10, 10-8 Big Ten) will learn its NCAA Tournament fate at long last on Selection Sunday.

The Hawkeyes fought through a five-game losing streak at the beginning of Big Ten play and emerged on the other side as one of the nation’s hottest teams. Iowa has won 10 of its past 13 contests, including a signature win against No. 4 USC on Feb. 2 and three close losses to No. 1 UCLA and No. 13 Ohio State.

As fans wait for the big reveal, here’s one final look at where the experts are projecting the Hawkeyes to fall in the NCAA Tournament brackets.

ESPN Selection Sunday bracketology

Iowa Hawkeyes guard Taylor McCabe (2) and the Iowa Hawkeyes celebrate winning Wednesday, March 5, 2025, in a round one game at the 2025 TIAA Big Ten Women's Basketball Tournament between the Iowa Hawkeyes and the Wisconsin Badgers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.

Seeding: No. 6 seed in Region 1 Birmingham vs. No. 11 George Mason

 

Breakdown: Iowa earns a No. 6 seed and is slated to meet George Mason first in a game in Durham, N.C., at the host site of the No. 3 Duke Blue Devils. Duke would meet No. 14 Arkansas State.

If Iowa beat George Mason, it would battle the Duke Blue Devils for the right to advance to the Sweet 16. The top two seeds in this bracket are South Carolina and TCU in that order.

CBS Sports bracketology

Iowa Hawkeyes guard Sydney Affolter (3) celebrates scoring a 3-pointer Friday, March 7, 2025, in a quarterfinals game at the 2025 TIAA Big Ten Women's Basketball Tournament between the Iowa Hawkeyes and the Ohio State Buckeyes at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Buckeyes defeated the Hawkeyes, 60-59.

Seeding: No. 6 seed

Her Hoops Stats bracketology

Iowa seniors Addison O'Grady (44), AJ Ediger (34), Lucy Olsen (33), Kylie Feuerbach (4) and Sydney Affolter (3) react during senior recognition after playing Wisconsin Sunday, March 2, 2025 at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, Iowa.

Seeding: No. 6 in Region 4 Birmingham vs. No. 11 Fairfield

Breakdown: Iowa would be off to Lexington, Kentucky, under this bracket scenario. The Hawkeyes would face 11th-seeded Fairfield first, and, if they won, would likely see No. 3 Kentucky waiting. The Wildcats open against No. 14 Liberty.

Iowa draws No. 1 seed Texas and No. 2 seed UConn in this projected bracket.

As of Selection Sunday, the Iowa Hawkeyes women’s basketball team has been designated as a No. 6 seed in the 2025 NCAA Tournament. They are slated to face the No. 11 seed, Murray State, in the first round on March 22 in Norman, Oklahoma.

This seeding aligns with earlier bracketology projections, which had anticipated Iowa securing a No. 6 seed. However, the specific regional placement remained uncertain until the official announcement.

The Hawkeyes concluded their season with a 22-10 overall record and a 10-8 mark in the Big Ten Conference. Notably, this season marks a transition for the team, as they adapt to the post-Caitlin Clark era under the leadership of head coach Jan Jensen.

Looking ahead, Iowa’s potential path in the tournament could involve challenging matchups. Analysts have identified certain regions as particularly demanding, with top-seeded teams like South Carolina projected to have relatively smoother routes to the Final Four.

For a comprehensive overview of the tournament and expert predictions, you might find this video insightful: